Betting on a melt-up

Investors are betting on a market melt-up, Trump rethinks candidates for Treasury Secretary, Musk endorses Howard Lutnick for the job, Treasuries see 2024 gains dwindle, and Samsung plans $7.2 billion buyback...

Good morning.

The Fast Five Investors are betting on a market melt-up, Trump rethinks candidates for Treasury Secretary, Musk endorses Howard Lutnick for the job, Treasuries see 2024 gains dwindle, and Samsung plans $7.2 billion buyback…

Calendar: (all times ET) - Full calendar

  • Today:
    Home builder confidence index, 10:00 am

  • Tomorrow:
    Building permits, 8:30 am

Your 5-minute briefing for Monday, November 18:

BEFORE THE OPEN

As of market close 11/15/2024. Bitcoin as of 11/17/2024.

Pre-Market:

US Investor % Bullish Sentiment:
↑ 49.84% for Week of November 14 2024

Last week: 41.54%. Updates every Friday.

Market Wrap:

  • Futures mixed: Dow -16 pts, S&P +0.1%, Nasdaq +0.2%.

  • Dow 43,444, S&P 5,870, Nasdaq 18,680 as postelection rally fades.

  • Powell: Fed not rushing cuts; year-end rates seen at 4.25%-4.5%.

  • Key earnings: Nvidia (Wed), Walmart, Target, Palo Alto this week.

  • Strong earnings: 93% of S&P firms reported; 75% beat EPS, 61% beat revenue.

EARNINGS

Here’s what we’re watching this week. Full calendar »

  • Tuesday: Lowe's (LOW)

    • Walmart (WMT) - earnings of $.53 per share, up 3.9% (YoY) on $166.4 billion revenue (+4.4% YoY)

  • Wednesday: Palo Alto Networks (PANW), Snowflake (SNOW), Target (TGT), TJX Companies (TJX)

    • Nvidia (NVDA) - earnings of $.74 per share (+85% YoY) on $33.0 billion revenue (+82% YoY)

  • Thursday: Gap (GAP), Ross Stores (ROST)

    • Deere (DE) - earnings of $3.93 per share (-52% YoY) on $9.3 billion revenue (-32.7% YoY)

HEADLINES

They have flocked to stock funds at a pace rarely seen since 2008, but some warn that shares look expensive historically

President-elect Donald J. Trump is expected to invite the contenders for the role, including Kevin Warsh and Marc Rowan, to Mar-a-Lago this week.

  • Solid US retail sales in October underscore economy's resilience (more)

  • Strong US data feeds doubts about Fed December rate cut (more)

  • Treasuries see 2024 gains dwindle with December Fed cut at risk (more)

  • Oil settles down 2% on weaker Chinese demand, Fed rate cut uncertainty (more)

  • Dollar sitting pretty, yen bears wary of BOJ hawks (more)

  • China targets critical metal exports anticipating further US tech, trade curbs (more)

  • Elon Musk endorses Howard Lutnick for Treasury Secretary (more)

  • Samsung plans $7.2B buyback after share price plunges (more)

  • Alibaba to raise $5 billion in dual currency bond deal (more)

  • ByteDance's valuation hits $300 billion (more)

  • Utilities want Trump, Republicans to save IRA tax credits (more)

  • Millennium, Capula, Tudor pile Bitcoin ETFs into portfolios (more)

A MESSAGE FROM STANSBERRY RESEARCH

CNBC's 'Prophet' who called dot-com crash issues warning

As AI stocks send the stock market to new highs every other month, the mainstream media is warning investors to prepare for another 2000-style tech crash.

But the man CNBC nicknamed 'The Prophet' is going against the crowd.

He accurately predicted the dot-com crash in 2000, and today, he has a controversial new warning about the AI craze.

It could dictate your next decade of success – or failure – in the U.S. stock market.

- sponsored message -

DEALFLOW

M+A | Investments

  • Nordic Capital closes in on deal for Astorg's Anaqua (more)

  • SalesRabbit, a field sales management platform, acquired RoofLink, a CRM solution designed for roofers (more)

  • RealWear, an AR market company, acquired Almer Technologies, a company specializing in ultra-compact, user-friendly AR headsets (more)

  • GrayMatter, an analytics products and services company, acquired Servy, an enterprise self-service platform for hospitality (more)

  • PMWeb, a provider of software for construction projects and asset portfolios, received a strategic growth investment from Bregal Sagempunt (more)

VC

  • Firefly Aerospace, an end-to-end responsive space services provider, raised $175M in Series D funding (more)

  • Radiant Industries, an advanced nuclear technology company, raised $100M in Series C funding (more)

  • Beta Bionics, a company specializing in the development of advanced diabetes management solutions, raised $60M in Series E funding (more)

  • Plantible Foods, a tech company leveraging plants to promote the longevity of people and the planet, closed a $30M Series B funding round (more)

  • Bluespine, an AI-driven claims cost reduction platform for self-insured employers, raised $7.2M in Seed funding (more)

  • Mithrl, an AI-powered platform empowering scientific research, raised $4M in Seed funding (more)

FROM OUR RESEARCH PARTNERS

CRYPTO

  • Ark Invest CEO Cathie Wood doubles down on Bitcoin's $1.5M bull case as optimism soars (more)

  • XRP sees record futures bets amid price surge above $1.20 (more)

  • 18 states want the SEC to stop enforcing crypto regulation (more)

BULLISH BITES

👀 Inside Look: How crypto became the biggest winner of Trump 2.0.

🤯  From boardroom brawls to IPO ready: Inside Klarna’s wild year.

💰 Pursuits: Big bet on sunshine makes Indian entrepreneur a billionaire.

🦋 What is Bluesky? The fast-growing social platform welcoming fleeing X users

DAILY SHARES

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