'Bond Math' magic

Fed Chair Powell to deliver key speech @ noon ET, Biden pledges solidarity for Israel in visit to Tel Aviv, OpenAI in talks to sell shares at $86B valuation, ‘bond math’ shows bet on Treasurys could reap dazzling returns, and Amazon begins delivering medications by drone…

☕️ Good Morning.

The Fast Five Fed Chair Powell to deliver key speech @ noon ET, Biden pledges solidarity for Israel in visit to Tel Aviv, OpenAI in talks to sell shares at $86B valuation, ‘bond math’ shows bet on Treasurys could reap dazzling returns, and Amazon begins delivering medications by drone

Here’s your 5-minute MarketBriefing for Thursday:

BEFORE THE OPEN

As of market close 10/18/2023.

MARKETS:

  • Stocks drop as earnings season progresses and yields surge.

  • Dow falls 0.98%, S&P 500 slides 1.34%, Nasdaq drops 1.62%.

  • 10-year Treasury yield surpasses 4.9%, highest since 2007; 30-year fixed mortgage rate hits 8%, highest since 2000.

  • J.B. Hunt and United Airlines decline due to earnings misses, while Procter & Gamble rises after beating expectations.

  • Over 10% of S&P 500 firms reported results, with about 78% surpassing analyst expectations.

  • Investors shift focus to revenue growth during earnings season.

  • Chip stocks like Nvidia and Advanced Micro Devices struggle following U.S. plans to tighten AI chip sales to China.

  • Wall Street monitors the ongoing Israel-Hamas war, with President Biden's visit to show solidarity.

NEWS BRIEFING

Biden wraps up his visit to wartime Israel with a warning against being ‘consumed’ by rage.

As investors snap up long-dated Treasurys following a historic rout that has seen the price of some issues cut in half, some traders are using esoteric “bond math” to justify making big contrarian bets.

  • Fed Chair Powell to deliver key speech today: Here’s what to expect (more)

  • Israel War Latest:

    • US vetoes UN Security Council action on Israel, Gaza (more)

    • US sanctions seek to disrupt Hamas' revenue, US Treasury says (more)

  • U.S. providing missiles to Ukraine ‘a mistake,’ Putin says; Russia and China ‘exchange views (more)

  • Jim Jordan loses second House speaker vote, as GOP weighs dwindling options (more)

  • 10-year Treasury yield breaks above 4.9% for the first time since 2007 (more)

  • The 30-year fixed mortgage rate just hit 8% for the first time since 2000 as Treasury yields soar (more)

  • Bad news for commercial real estate: Architects report a big drop in business (more)

  • U.S. income inequality grew through pandemic years, Fed survey shows (more)

  • Health insurance premiums now cost $24,000 a year, survey says (more)

  • OpenAI is in talks to sell shares at an $86 billion valuation (more)

  • The ‘Ozempic effect’ is coming for everything — from kidney to heart disease treatments (more)

  • Walmart beefs up its third-party marketplace as it challenges bigger online rival Amazon (more)

  • Top Apple analyst says MacBook demand has fallen ‘significantly’ (more)

  • ChatGPT can now respond with images and search the web (more)

  • Amazon begins delivering medications by drone in Texas (more)

  • Amazon tests humanoid robot in warehouse automation push (more)

  • X, formerly Twitter, tests charging new users $1 to tweet, retweet (more)

  • PaintJet puts robots to work in construction and maintenance as labor shortage drags on (more)

  • The venture market is overcorrecting (more)

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DEALFLOW

  • Gridiron Capital, LLC, an investment firm focused on partnering with founders, entrepreneurs, and management teams, closed Gridiron Capital Fund V and its affiliated funds (“Gridiron V”), at $2.1B (more)

  • P&G to weigh $1 billion sale of VS Sassoon’s China business (more)

  • Warburg-backed Princeton Digital to raise $1B in debt (more)

  • Tillman Infrastructure is seeking a $500M capital injection (more)

  • Vanguard sells stake in Ant joint venture, accelerating China exit (more)

  • Infineon signs semiconductor supply deal with automakers Hyundai, Kia (more)

  • AutoNation drops bid for UK auto dealer Pendragon (more)

  • Actym Therapeutics, a provider of a new drug modality to treat solid tumors, raised $59.5M in Series A funding (more)

  • Darwinium, a provider of a digital security and fraud prevention platform, raised $18M in Series A financing (more)

  • Objective, a provider of an outcome-driven search platform, Objective Search, raised $13M in funding (more)

  • Scorability, a provider of a platform for matching athletes with college athletics programs, raised $11M in Seed funding (more)

  • HawkEye 360, a defense technology company for space-based radio frequency (RF) data and analytics, raised additional $10M in Series D-1 funding (more)

  • Allara, a provider of a virtual care platform, raised $10M in Series A funding (more)

  • Providence invests in Populous (more)

  • Gero, a biotechnology company focused on aging and chronic diseases, closed $6M in a Series A extension round (more)

  • Hallmark Health Care Solutions, a healthcare technology company specializing in workforce management solutions, received a growth Investment of undisclosed amount (more)

  • Parhelia Biosciences, a company specializing in sample preparation for tissue staining and spatial analysis, raised an undisclosed amount in Series A funding (more)

  • Matic, an embedded insurtech platform provider, raised $20M as an extension to its Series B (more)

  • Perch Energy, a clean energy technology platform and community solar servicer that connects solar developers with consumers, raised $30M in Series B funding (more)

  • Bedrock Energy, a technology startup that designs, constructs, and delivers geothermal heating and cooling systems, raised $8.5M in Seed funding (more)

  • Carefull, a provider of an AI-powered financial safety platform, raised $16.5M in Series A funding (more)

M & A:

  • L Catterton-backed Hydrow in talks to acquire rival Cityrow (more)

  • Australia's Mirvac to acquire land lease operator Serenitas for $643M (more)

  • Stax Payments, a payment technology provider, acquired Atlantic-Pacific Processing Systems (Apps), a provider of a digital platform delivering real-time data (more)

  • Whitehaven buys Coking coal mines from BHP (more)

  • Havencrest Homecare acquires WCHC (more)

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CRYPTO

  • Binance France director exits in latest senior departure at Crypto exchange (more)

  • Bitcoin Holds $28K as stocks buckle under interest rate concerns (more)

  • Bitcoin-ETF watchers circle Friday as next key date in approval race (more)

BULLISH BITES

The Art of the 15-Minute Meeting WSJ
If your next meeting can’t be an email, maybe it can just be 15 minutes.

🏃🏻‍♂️ What Fast-Moving Companies Do Differently HarvardBR
Speed has now become a true strategic advantage. And it’s a critical driver of the resilience companies today are working hard to build.

👑 JFK Is Getting the ‘Crown’ Treatment in a Netflix Series RobbReport
Forget the Windsors. It’s the Kennedy family’s time to shine.

DAILY SHARES

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