Cover curse?

Biden’s pitches $7.3 trillion budget, Trump says a TikTok ban would empower Meta, traders debate magazine cover curse, long-term inflation expectations rise, and The Body Shop and Deadspin—gone…

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The Fast Five → Biden’s pitches $7.3 trillion budget, Trump says a TikTok ban would empower Meta, traders debate magazine cover curse, long-term inflation expectations rise, and The Body Shop and Deadspin—gone…

Calendar:

  • Today: Consumer price index (CPI), 8:30am ET

  • THU 3/14: Producer price index (PPI), 8:30am ET

Your 5-minute briefing for Tuesday, March 12:

BEFORE THE OPEN

As of market close 3/11/2024.

Pre-Market:

US Investor % Bullish Sentiment:
51.73% for Wk of Mar 07 2024 (Last week: 46.50%)

Market Recap:

  • Stock futures slightly up Mon; focus on inflation data.

  • Dow futures gained 30 points, S&P 500 up 0.2%, Nasdaq 100 0.4%.

  • Feb CPI report key; expected 0.4% monthly gain, 3.1% yearly.

  • January’s CPI rise sparked caution in Fed policy.

  • Tech rally slowing; Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Tesla down recently.

EARNINGS

What we’re watching this week:

  • Wednesday: Lennar LEN, Williams-Sonoma (WSM)

    • Dollar Tree (DLTR) - earnings of $2.65 per share (+29.9% YoY) on $8.7B in revenue (+12.3% YoY)

  • Thursday: Dick's Sporting Goods (DKS), Ulta Beauty (ULTA)

    • Adobe (ADBE) - earnings of $4.38 per share (+15.3% YoY) on $5.1B in revenue (+10.3%)

Full earnings calendar here

HEADLINES

Traders are chattering about recent bullish market coverage. Magazine cover-contrary indicator often points to trend ending.

Trump’s view on TikTok contrasts with that of incumbent U.S. President Joe Biden, who has said he would sign a bill to ban the app, if Congress passes it.

  • Biden’s pitches $7.3 trillion budget - callls for tax hikes on the wealthy to pay for Social Security, Medicare (more)

  • Long-term inflation expectations rise, spelling possible trouble for the Fed, survey shows (more)

  • Emergency Fed bank effort ends lending, as eyes turn to discount window (more)

  • 2- and 10-year Treasury yields jump by most in a week ahead of Tuesday’s CPI data (more)

  • The global trade system has already started planning for potential Trump win, new China tariffs (more)

  • Oil prices steady as Middle Eastern supply concerns ease (more)

  • US companies to announce investments of over $1 billion in the Philippines (more)

  • China's housing minister says real estate developers must go bankrupt if necessary (more)

  • Options players ready for market swings after US inflation data (more)

  • Oracle shares soar 13% on better-than-expected quarterly earnings (more)

  • Reddit launches long-awaited IPO with $748M target (more)

    • Reddit’s planned IPO share price seems high, unless you look at its AI revenue (more)

  • Musk takes another swing at OpenAI, makes xAI's Grok chatbot open-source (more)

  • The Body Shop is closing down all US operations after filing for bankruptcy (more)

  • Deadspin sold by G/O Media, employees laid off with half-hour's notice (more)

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DEALFLOW

M+A | Investments

  • Murdoch's News Corp eyes joint Telegraph bid with rivals (more)

  • Choice Hotels abandons roughly $7B takeover bid for Wyndham (more)

  • Abu Dhabi targets $100 Billion AUM for AI investment firm (more)

  • Astorg considers sale of IP software firm Anaqua (more)

  • India's Aditya Birla Capital to merge with financial unit (more)

  • KKR acquires Mdf Commerce (more)

  • PAR Technology Corporation (PAR), a foodservice tech company and provider of unified commerce for enterprise restaurant brands, acquires Stuzo (more)

  • Foundation Investment Partners acquires Spartan Tool Supply (more)

  • RTC-backed Verdantas acquires Lewandowski Engineers (more)

  • UWorld purchases Aspen Publishing from Transom (more)

VC

  • Liquid Death, a beverage company, raised $67M in funding (more)

  • Serenity Kids, a shelf-stable pouched baby food brand, closed a $52M in minority investment from Stride Consumer Partners (more)

  • Vouch, a provider of business insurance for high-growth companies, raised $25M in Series C-1 funding (more)

  • Reach Security, a company providing AI solutions for security operations, raised $20M in funding (more)

  • Neural Propulsion Systems, a software-defined radar company, raised $17.5M in Series B funding (more)

  • Kaedim, a startup dedicated to streamlining the 3D creative process for game developers and interactive entertainment creators, raised $15M in Series A funding (more)

  • Guardrails AI, an AI assurance company, raised $7.5M in Seed funding (more)

  • Bluwhale, an AI Web3 startup, raised $7M in Seed funding (more)

  • AbbeyCross, a wholesale FX platform focused on improving the payment market infrastructure, raised $6.5M in seed funding (more)

  • Key, a community and networking platform provider, raised $4.3M in funding (more)

  • Velou, a product data enrichment and search automation platform, raised $4M in sed funding (more)

  • Cherub, a US provider of a platform to connect founders, investors and advisors, raised $1M in funding (more)

  • DocNow, a provider of electronic health record management solutions, raised an undisclosed amount in Seed funding (more)

  • COMM, a marketing agency specializing in digital marketing strategy and solutions, received an investment from RTC Partners (more)

  • MAXE AI, a provider of an AI investing assistant app, raised an undisclosed amount in Seed funding (more)

  • Neuron7.ai, a company specializing in AI for service, received a strategic investment from ServiceNow Ventures (more)

CRYPTO

  • Bitcoin breaks through $72,000 to hit fresh record (more)

  • MicroStrategy acquires 12,000 More BTC with convertible senior notes proceeds (more)

BULLISH BITES

💰 New rule: Airbnb finally overturns its creepiest policy.

👀 Cyber threats: Four things we learned when US spy chiefs testified to Congress.

🏆 New start: TikTok creators look for a new home as threat of US ban gains steam.

🤔 Royal drama: British monarchy rocked by bad Photoshop job.

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