Economists on edge

Investors react to US-Russia summit, July inflation data has economists on edge, IPO market surges, Walmart's view on tariff impacts will move markets this week, and the options trader coming to take on NYC flash boys...

Good morning.

The Fast FiveInvestors react to US-Russia summit, July inflation data has economists on edge, IPO market surges, Walmart's view on tariff impacts will move markets this week, and the options trader coming to take on NYC flash boys

📌 Whitney Tilson predicted the 2008 crash, exposed billion-dollar scam, and made millions for his former clients. Now he's calling his shot again... this time on "The US: IPO" and one $10 stock at the center of a $100 trillion wealth shift. More here (ad)

Calendar: (all times ET) - Full Calendar

  • Today:
    none scheduled

  • Tomorrow:
    none scheduled

Your 5-minute briefing for Monday, Aug 18:

BEFORE THE OPEN

As of market close 8/15/2025. Bitcoin as of 8/17/2025.

Pre-Market:

US Investor % Bullish Sentiment:
↓ 29.88% for Week of AUG 14 2025

Previous week: 34.87%

Market Wrap:

  • Futures mostly steady after a winning week on Wall St.

  • Dow +1.7%, S&P +0.9%, Nasdaq +0.8% last week

  • Small caps outperformed, jumping 3%+ on rate-cut bets

  • S&P Equal Weight Consumer Discretionary hit a record high

  • Fed’s Jackson Hole meeting this week in focus

  • Big-box earnings ahead: Home Depot, Lowe’s, Walmart, Target

EARNINGS

Here’s what we’re watching this week:

When I saw the Trump administration open 23 million acres of Alaskan land for drilling and mining, I wasn't surprised.

To me, it's a massive green light...

The clearest sign yet that the federal government is finally unlocking its stockpile of energy and mineral wealth.

I've been tracking this shift for months.

In fact, I predicted this policy reversal...and I believe it's only the beginning.

One company tied to a similar move has already soared as much as 3,700% since January.

Others have delivered returns as high as 176%, 535%, and even 4,300% just by being early to these government-backed resource plays.

Now, I believe a new set of companies are positioned to benefit, and I've laid out their names and tickers in a new research briefing.

Whitney Tilson -Editor, Stansberry Research

HEADLINES

Following are reactions from world leaders to the summit on Friday between Trump and Putin, which did not resolve Moscow's war in Ukraine.

Markets ended the week largely unfazed by a hotter wholesale inflation print and signs of firming consumer prices, but some economists warn the underlying story is more concerning than investors seem to believe.

  • US retail sales rise in July; softening job market poses risk to spending (more)

  • Trade partners grow restless waiting for Trump’s tariff breaks (more)

  • Central bankers flock to Jackson Hole at pivotal moment (more)

  • Fed's Daly: Two rate cuts, more or less, appropriate this year (more)

  • Bond market’s rate-cut bets enter decisive stretch with Powell (more)

  • Oil markets seen bearish after Trump-Putin Alaska meeting (more)

  • China’s $11 trillion stock market is a headache for both Xi and Trump (more)

  • 'Striking while the iron is hot': IPO market surges (more)

  • Walmart's view on tariff impacts will move this week's markets (more)

  • A $17 Billion options trader is coming to take on NYC flash boys (more)

  • OpenAI staff looking to sell $6 billion in stock to SoftBank, others (more)

  • Boom in bespoke ETFs drives growth of niche ‘a-la-carte’ options (more)

  • Big Tech is eating itself in talent war (more)

  • IgniteTech CEO Replaces 80% of Workforce in AI Shift (more)

DEALFLOW

M+A | Investments

  • Workday acquires Flowise

  • Associated British Foods to acquire Hovis

  • A2 Milk to buy New Zealand formula plant to target China growth

  • U‑Blox in advanced takeover talks with Advent

  • Evonence receives investment from Seroda Ventures; merges with Cloudnyx.ai

VC

  • Waterly, a watertech startup, closed a $4M Series A funding round

CRYPTO

  • Fed to scrap program devoted to policing banks on crypto, fintech activities (more)

  • Bitcoin risks new 2025 correction as BTC price uptrend starts 7th week (more)

  • Winklevoss twins' Gemini reveals lower revenue and wider loss in IPO filing (more)

BULLISH BITES

📈 Why does the stock market keep rising?

💼 Job market gloom hasn't been this bad since the Great Recession.

💳 $800 for a credit card? Why your premium cards will cost more.

🧸 AI-powered stuffed animals are coming for your kids.

DAILY SHARES

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