Investors brace for swings

Here’s what the stock market typically does after the election, stocks and crypto investors brace for election swings, Palantir jumps after reporting record profit, Apple explores push into smart glasses, and Bezos and OpenAI invest in robot startup at $2.4 bln valuation...

Good morning 🇺🇸

The Fast Five Here’s what the stock market typically does after the election, stocks and crypto investors brace for election swings, Palantir jumps after reporting record profit, Apple explores push into smart glasses, and Bezos and OpenAI invest in robot startup at $2.4 bln valuation…

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Calendar: (all times ET) - Full calendar here

  • Today:
    Trade deficit, 8:30 am

  • Tomorrow:
    none watched

Your 5-minute briefing for Tuesday, November 5:

BEFORE THE OPEN

As of market close 11/4/2024.

Pre-Market:

US Investor % Bullish Sentiment:
↑ 39.49% for Week of October 31 2024

Last week: 37.70%. Updates every Friday.

Market Wrap:

  • Stock futures flat on the eve of US presidential election.

  • Palantir +13% on strong results; NXP Semiconductors falls on weak outlook.

  • Yesterday: Dow -250 pts (0.6%); S&P, Nasdaq down ~0.3%.

  • Tight Trump vs. Harris race; Congress control in focus.

  • Expect choppy trading; post-election dips common, gains often follow.

  • Fed rate decision Thursday; 98% chance of quarter-point cut.

EARNINGS

Here’s what we’re watching this week.

  • Today: DuPont (DD), Yum! Brands (YUM), Super Micro Computer (SMCI)

  • Wednesday: CVS (CVS), Duolingo (DUOL), Klaviyo (KVYO), Shopify (SHOP)

    • Arm (ARM) - earnings of $.24 per share (-33% YoY) on revenue of $799M (-0.9% YoY)

  • Thursday: Airbnb (ABNB), Capri (CPRI), Hershey (HSY), Moderna (MRNA), Tapestry (TPR)

See full calendar here.

A MESSAGE FROM STANSBERRY RESEARCH

Massive gold buying could send gold even higher

BRICS+ nations are frantically buying gold... while big investment banks are short-selling it.

To most Americans, this might not seem like a big deal...

But those who understand the way markets work understand why this is such a big deal. (Here's what it really means.)

So it's no wonder many Wall Street firms believe gold is set for a "breakout rally" in the coming months.

And other analysts believe gold could soon hit $5,000.

But the best way to cash in on this gold frenzy is likely NOT what you think.

This virtually unknown gold strategy has a history of returning 38% per year for nearly 2 decades.

Even during the Great Recession... when the stock market lost 37% in 2008, this approach gained more than 50% -- despite the fact that gold bullion barely moved.

Best of all, you can get into this strategy for just $6.

A.J. Wiederman
Senior Staff, Stansberry Research

HEADLINES

Stocks typically rise after a presidential election, but investors need to be prepared for some short-term choppiness first, history shows.

Shares jumped in after-hours trading, and the company raised its revenue guidance for 2024 to about $2.81 billion.

  • Investors from stocks to crypto brace for US election swings (more)

  • Worries of ‘bond vigilantes’ and inflation hit markets as election winds down (more)

  • For dealmakers, regulatory chaos would undercut Trump's pro-business tilt (more)

  • Equity funds record biggest weekly outflow in five weeks (more)

  • Dollar droops on election day after 'Trump trade' unwind (more)

  • Oil trades in tight range ahead of US election (more)

  • Asian stocks slip with US vote on knife’s edge (more)

  • Boeing workers vote on wage deal that could end strike (more)

  • Bezos, OpenAI invest in robot startup Physical Intelligence at $2.4B valuation (more)

  • Apple explores smart glasses push with ‘Atlas’ user study (more)

  • Hedge fund basis trade faces fresh scrutiny as regulators mull probe (more)

  • Wamco key bond fund falls below $10 bln as clients flee (more)

  • China gives Morgan Stanley approval to launch local futures unit (more)

DEALFLOW

M+A | Investments

  • Silver Lake, Bain prepare to bid for multi-billion stake in Intel's Altera unit (more)

  • Anglo to sell 33% stake in Australian steelmaking coal assets for $1.1 billion (more)

  • Epam Systems, a digital product engineering company, acquired Neoris, a global tech consultancy with approx 4,800 pro’s across major talent hubs (more)

  • The Access Group, business mgmt software to mid-market organizations, acquired Paytronix, a provider of guest engagement solutions for restaurants and convenience stores (more)

  • SingleOps, arbor and landscape business software, merged with Landscape Management Network, landscape business software and crew training (more)

  • eRESI Capital, a mortgage funding platform received an investment from KKR (more)

  • Augment, an AI coding assistance startup, received an investment from Evolution Equity Partners (more)

VC

  • BETA Technologies, an electric aviation company, raised more than $300M in Equity funding (more)

  • Melio, an accounts payable and receivable platform for SMB’s, raised $150M in Series E funding, at $2 bln valuation (more)

  • Cintoo, cloud-based reality data management and collaboration solutions, raised €37M in Series B funding (more)

  • Transaera, a tech company providing an energy-efficient approach to cooling and dehumidification, raised $10.5M in funding (more)

  • IOTA Software, industrial and business data visualization software, raised $10.4M in Series A2 funding (more)

  • Algebrik AI, a cloud-native and AI-powered digital era loan origination platform, raised $4M in Series A funding (more)

  • Advex, a startup providing AI Vision solutions for manufacturing, raised $3.5M in Seed funding (more)

  • Puloli, a IoT solutions provider specializing in affordable methane monitoring at scale, raised its second funding (more)

CRYPTO

  • US election speculators play the prediction markets (more)

  • Coinbase, a16z and others pour more than $78M into pro-crypto PAC for 2026 election (more)

  • Crypto firms including Robinhood, Kraken launch global stablecoin network (more)

BULLISH BITES

🇺🇸 All In: Joe Rogan endorses Trump on eve of Election Day.

⚠️ Prepping for Conflict: World War III has already begun, Jamie Dimon warns.

🤖 Pursuits: ChatGPT Search is not OpenAI’s ‘Google killer’ (yet).

🦃 Survey Says: Most people prefer this Thanksgiving food over turkey.

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