New Strategic Reserve

Trump names cryptocurrencies in strategic reserve, Wall Street shakes off Trump-Zelenskiy clash, hedge funds ramp up bets on falling stocks, tariffs start tomorrow on Canada, Mexico, China, and Buffett warns: “Tariffs are a tax—Tooth Fairy doesn’t pay ’em!”

Good morning.

The Fast FiveTrump names cryptocurrencies in strategic reserve, Wall Street shakes off Trump-Zelenskiy clash, hedge funds ramp up bets on falling stocks, tariffs start tomorrow on Canada, Mexico, China, and Buffett warns: “Tariffs are a tax—Tooth Fairy doesn’t pay ’em!”

Trump's Head-Spinning First Month Is Over.
Here's what to expect next for Social Security, taxes and stocks »

Calendar: (all times ET) - Full Calendar

  • Today:
    Manufacturing PMI, 9:45A

  • Tomorrow:
    None watched

Your 5-minute briefing for Monday, March 3:

BEFORE THE OPEN

As of market close 2/28/2025. Bitcoin as of 3/2/2025.

Pre-Market:

US Investor % Bullish Sentiment:
↓ 19.38% for Week of February 27 2025

Previous week: 29.19%. Updates every Friday.

🚨 DOGE Social Security bombshell?
- from Alimetry

Market Wrap:

  • Futures up: Dow +77 pts, S&P +0.2%, Nasdaq +0.6%.

  • Trump’s tariffs on Canada/Mexico still “fluid”; China’s 10% duty set.

  • Stocks fell in Feb: S&P -1.4%, Dow -1.6%, Nasdaq -4% (worst since Apr ‘24).

  • Bitcoin +10% to $94K after Trump announced U.S. crypto reserve.

  • Jobs report Friday—hiring slowdown expected.

EARNINGS

Here’s what we’re watching this week:

  • Tuesday: ChargePoint (CHPT), Nordstrom (JWN)

    • Target (TGT) - earnings of $2.15 per share (-27.9% YoY), on $30.8B revenue (-3.4% YoY)

  • Wednesday: Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF)

  • Thursday: Gap (GAP), Macy’s (M)

    • Broadcom (AVGO) - earnings of $1.51 per share (+37.3% YoY) on $14.6B revenue (+21.7% YoY)

    • Costco (COST) - earnings of $4.10 per share (+4.6% YoY) on $68.3B revenue (+7.8% YoY)

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Past performance is not indicative of future results. Email may contain forward-looking statements. See US Offering for details. Informational purposes only.

HEADLINES

The US president provided the first details about what a crypto reserve may look like.

Trump's new tariffs on Canada and Mexico would dramatically expand his push to reshape the US economy, tap new revenues and upend ties with the biggest US trading partners.

  • Wall Street shakes off Trump-Zelenskiy clash after dip (more)

  • Fed’s favorite core inflation measure hits 2.6% in January, as expected (more)

  • US consumer spending posts first drop in almost two years (more)

  • Oil recovers as upbeat Chinese manufacturing data increases optimism (more)

  • Inflation, growth may be in conflict but Fed seen restarting cuts in June (more)

  • Warren Buffett calls Trump’s proposed tariffs a tax on goods (more)

  • Hedge funds ramp up bets on falling stocks (more)

  • Asia-Pacific markets rise as investors await Trump’s tariff plans (more)

  • China's DeepSeek claims theoretical cost-profit ratio of 545% per day (more)

  • Amazon eyes global expansion for its Temu, Shein competitor (more)

  • Another ‘near miss’ as Citigroup mistakenly credited customer account with $81 trillion (more)

  • Drax CEO wants to move ‘more quickly’ on renewable energy overhaul (more)

DEALFLOW

M+A | Investments

  • Prada moves closer to Versace deal for up to €1.5 billion (more)

  • Blackstone buys Japan drug trial firm, adding to PE health deals (more)

  • Alkami, a digital banking solutions provider for US financial institutions, acquired Fin Technologies, Inc., an account tech company for banks (more)

  • Analytics8, a data and analytics consulting firm, received a growth investment from Boathouse Capital (more)

VC

  • CompScience, an active commercial P&C insurance company, raised $27.6M in Series B funding (more)

  • Workhelix, a tech-enabled services company for AI investments, raised $15M in Series A funding (more)

  • Archipelo, a cybersecurity startup which specializes in DevSPM, raised $12M in funding (more)

  • Quanta, an accounting company empowered by AI, raised $4.7M in Seed funding (more)

CRYPTO

  • XRP, SOL, ADA's Coinbase premium surges to one-month high after crypto reserve news (more)

  • Bitcoin dominance drops below 50% as Trump touts crypto reserve plan (more)

  • Bitcoin reserve in 100 days of Trump's presidency? Market is still skeptical (more)

BULLISH

📍 `A bubble looking for a pin': Trump-connected assets slide.

🪖 Military-tech startups vie for billions as Hegseth shakes up Pentagon spending.

😇 Gene Hackman's "money job."

🍳 Michelin-star chef says this is the No. 1 thing home cooks waste money on.

DAILY SHARES

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