Recession odds

China stocks reopen with a roar, DOJ wants to remake Google’s empire, 10-yr Treasury yields shifts lower after crossing 4%, Goldman lowers recession odds to just 15%, and Costco’s gold bars fly off shelves as prices smash records...

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The Fast Five China stocks reopen with a roar, DOJ wants to remake Google’s empire, 10-yr Treasury yields shifts lower after crossing 4%, Goldman lowers recession odds to just 15%, and Costco’s gold bars fly off shelves as prices smash records…

🚨 Is Gold Signaling a Market Crash?
From Behind The Markets

Calendar: (all times ET) - Full calendar here

  • Today: US trade deficit, 8:30 am

  • Tomorrow:
    Wholesale inventories, 10:00 am
    Minutes of Fed September FOMC meeting, 2:00 pm

Your 5-minute briefing for Tuesday, October 8:

BEFORE THE OPEN

As of market close 10/7/2024.

Pre-Market:

US Investor % Bullish Sentiment:
↓ 45.45% for Week of October 03 2024

Last week: 49.62%. Updates every Friday.

Market Wrap:

  • Stocks dropped Monday as oil prices and Treasury yields rose

  • Dow fell 398 points (-0.94%), S&P -0.96%, Nasdaq -1.18%

  • 10-yr Treasury yield hits above 4%, first time since August

  • US crude jumped 3%, settling above $77/barrel

  • Energy stocks (+0.4%) only sector to close up

  • Utilities and consumer discretionary sectors down ~2%

  • Caution ahead of earnings season with rising yields and energy prices

EARNINGS

Earnings we’re watching this week:

  • Today: 

    • PepsiCo (PEP) - earnings of $2.29 per share (+1.8% YoY), on $23.8B revenue (+1.7% YoY)

  • Thursday: 

  • Friday: BlackRock (BLK), Wells Fargo (WFC)

See full earnings calendar here.

HEADLINES

China equity markets returned from a week-long holiday Tuesday, and promptly soared to two-year highs.

The Department of Justice wants to dismantle the tech giant's dominance of the online search market.

  • Wall Street indexes slip with interest rates, Middle East in focus (more)

  • US bond selloff deepens as wagers on half-point rate cut crumble (more)

  • 10-yr Treasury yields shifts lower after crossing 4% in previous session (more)

  • Goldman lowers recession odds to just 15% (more)

  • Dollar consolidates after strongest week in two years (more)

  • Brent oil extends slide below $80 as China stimulus bets fade (more)

  • Costco’s gold bars fly off shelves as bullion prices smash records (more)

  • Super Micro soars after sharing it’s shipping 100K GPUs per quarter (more)

  • Foxconn building world's largest Nvidia superchip factory (more)

  • Stellantis files new lawsuits against United Auto Workers union (more)

  • Fintech OpenBB aims to be more than an ‘open source Bloomberg Terminal’ (more)

  • Apollo Funds to take Barnes Group private in $3.6 billion deal (more)

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DEALFLOW

M+A | Investments

  • Chevron to sell assets for $6.5B to Canadian Natural Resources (more)

  • Sheffield United Football Club in takeover talks with US investor group (more)

  • Saudi Arabia's PIF eyeing stake in sports streamer DAZN (more)

  • Butterfly Equity buys winemaker Duckhorn in $1.95B deal (more)

  • Adani Group in talks to buy Heidelberg's Indian cement operations (more)

  • Richemont offloads online retailer Yoox Net-A-Porter to Mytheresa (more)

  • Nissan to invest in auto tech firm ChargeScape (more)

  • Chartbeat, a media software platform provider, received a strategic investment from Bain Capital's Private Credit Group (more)

  • BrightNight, a producer of clean and dispatchable power solutions, closed a $440M strategic equity investment from Goldman Sachs Alternatives (more)

  • Ascend Partners, enterprise performance management solutions, received an investment from Achieve Partners (more)

  • Globant, a digitally native company providing businesses with technology solutions, acquired Exusia, an IT services consulting firm (more)

  • Synerion USA Inc., cloud-based workforce management software, acquired Qumulex, cloud-based video surveillance and access control solutions (more)

  • Compax Holding, a global leader in Digital Business Support Systems, acquired NTS Retail, retail and in-store commerce software solutions (more)

  • QAD Inc., next-gen manufacturing and supply chain solutions in the cloud, acquires Phenix Software Inc., a production scheduling platform (more)

  • Veralto Corporation (VLTO), essential water and product quality solutions, acquired TraceGains, a provider of cloud-based software solutions (more)

  • Solvd, an end-to-end software engineering company, acquired EastBanc Technologies, an IT consultancy serving enterprise/government clients (more)

VC

  • Judo Bio, a biotech company developing oligonucleotide medicines, raised $100M in Seed and Series A financing (more)

  • Resolve AI, an AI production engineering startup, raised $35M in seed funding (more)

  • Eleanor Health, an outpatient addiction treatment provider, raised $30M in Series D funding (more)

  • Layer, a company allowing developers to build new layers on top of Ethereum, raised $6M in funding (more)

  • Monolith Materials, a company specializing in clean hydrogen and carbon black, received an undisclosed amount in additional funding (more)

  • New Frontier Aerospace, a developer of advanced aerospace technologies, raised an undisclosed amount in Seed funding (more)

CRYPTO

  • FTX cash repayment plan approved by bankruptcy judge (more)

  • MicroStrategy surges to 6-month high as Bitcoin wrestles with key moving average (more)

  • Len Sassaman gets the memecoin treatment ahead of HBO Bitcoin creator documentary (more)

BULLISH BITES

⚠️ New Briefing: The gold market’s DIRE warning *

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📈 Pursuits: Billionaire “bored silly” of retirement chases a third IPO.

🤖 Next Level: A WSJ writer is obsessed with a new Google AI app that can make a podcast out of just about anything.

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