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Rival espionage?
Fed prepares to lay down marker on impact of Trump policies, Trade Chief pushes for order after rocky tariff rollout, Americans see growing risk of being denied loans, Alphabet in talks to buy Wiz for $33 bln, and Rippling accuses rival "unicorn" Deel of espionage...
Good morning.
The Fast Five → Fed prepares to lay down marker on impact of Trump policies, Trade Chief pushes for order after rocky tariff rollout, Americans see growing risk of being denied loans, Alphabet in talks to buy Wiz for $33 bln, and Rippling accuses rival “unicorn” Deel of espionage…
Calendar: (all times ET) - Full Calendar
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Your 5-minute briefing for Tuesday, March 18:
US Investor % Bullish Sentiment:
↓ 19.11% for Week of March 13 2025

Previous week: 19.33%. Updates every Friday.
Market Wrap:
Futures flat: Dow +11 pts, S&P & Nasdaq steady.
S&P & Nasdaq still in correction despite 2-day rebound.
Markets remain down YTD; tariff, growth fears linger.
Fed meeting kicks off Tuesday; rates likely held steady.
Key data: imports, housing, production Tuesday.
EARNINGS
Here’s what we’re watching this week:
Wednesday: Five Below $FIVE ( ▲ 6.55% ), General Mills $GIS ( ▼ 0.89% )
Super Micro Computer $SMCI ( ▲ 0.11% ) - earnings of $0.54 per share, +5.9% YoY), on $5.4B revenue (+45.9% YoY)
Thursday: Darden Restaurants $DRI ( ▲ 0.01% ), NIKE $NKE ( ▲ 0.31% )
FedEx $FDX ( ▲ 1.32% ) - earnings of $4.60 per share (+19.2% YoY) on revenue of $21.9 billion (+0.9% YoY)
Lennar $LEN ( ▲ 1.0% ) - earnings of $1.71 per share (-33.5% YoY) on revenue of $7.4 billion (+7.2% YoY)
TOGETHER WITH CHAIKIN ANALYTICS
A Market Crash is Coming—Here’s When
Hi, my name is Marc Chaikin, and I'm writing today to let you know that a market crash is coming.
I spent roughly 50 years on Wall Street, helping to design stock ratings systems... and my work is now found on every Bloomberg and Reuter's terminal around the globe.
But today I simply want to share three important data points that almost no one is talking about right now:
The exact day the next stock crash is most likely to begin
What to own now to potentially see the biggest gains with the least risk (click here for the ticker of one of my favorite stocks)
When to start taking profits--and where to put your money next
I cover all three topics in my most research presentation, which you can access for free on my website.
Marc Chaikin -Founder, Chaikin Analytics
P.S. The stock market cycle I've used to identify the most likely day of the next market crash is the exact same indicator that helped me call the bear market of 2018... the bull market in 2020... the bear market in 2022... the roaring bull markets in 2023 and 2024... and more. I'm convinced it has helped me identify the next big crash too. We are at an important juncture. Knowing what to do in the months to come is critical. Click here to check out my full write-up.
HEADLINES

Trump’s top trade negotiator is attempting to inject order into sweeping new tariffs expected next month, after previous announcements roiled markets and fueled business uncertainty.3
S&P 500 extends its rebound after sharp correction (more)
Retail sales increased 0.2% in Feb, though spending up less than expected (more)
Americans see growing risk they’ll get turned down for loans (more)
Oil rises as Trump says Iran will be held responsible for any future Houthi attacks (more)
SEC makes solicitation easier for VC and private equity (more)
Trump team unveils plans to build housing on Federal and (more)
Alphabet in talks to buy cloud security firm Wiz for $33 billion (more)
Rippling accuses rival "unicorn" Deel of espionage (more)
Warren Buffett raises stakes in 5 Japanese trading houses (more)
Klarna replaces Affirm as buy-now-pay-later provider at Walmart (more)
BYD shares surge after announcing new fast-charging technology (more)
Robinhood rolls out prediction markets with sports contracts (more)
DEALFLOW
M+A | Investments
Chevron buys $2.3 billion Hess stake on merger confidence (more)
Austal shares jump after Hanwha acquires stake in shipbuilder (more)
Rocket Companies, a provider of a fintech platform consisting of mortgage, real estate and personal finance businesses, acquired Redfin, a digital real estate brokerage (more)
Clearwater Analytics acquires Beacon, a provider of cross-asset class modeling and risk analytics for derivatives, private credit and debt, structured products and other alternative assets, and Bistro, Blackstone’s proprietary portfolio visualization software platform (more)
Lightkeeper, a provider of data reporting solutions for investment managers, received a growth investment from PSG (more)
Qolab, a quantum computing hardware company, received an investment from Applied Ventures (more)
VC
Latigo Biotherapeutics, a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing non-opioid pain treatments, raised $150M in Series B funding (more)
Curevo, a clinical-stage biotechnology company, raised $110M in Series B funding (more)
Peregrine Energy Solutions, a provider of an integrated multi-technology clean energy platform, closed a $53M in equity funding (more)
Laplace Interventional, a medical device company, raised $22M in Series C funding (more)
Gradial, an AI startup developing with AI marketing operations agents, raised $13M in Series A funding (more)
Occuspace, a provider of an occupancy intelligence platform for the built environment, raised $6M in Series A funding (more)
ResiQuant, an autonomous property intelligence platform, raised $4M in Seed funding (more)
Nimblemind.ai, a provider of an AI-powered data infrastructure platform, raised $2.5M in funding (more)
CRYPTO
BULLISH BITES
⚾️ The economy is a tiring baseball pitcher.
🥱 In search of a boring business.
🌷 This app limits your screen time by making you literally touch grass.
🎟 Tickets for Alinea’s monthlong Miami residency just dropped—and they’re epected to sell out fast.
DAILY SHARES
how it feels to work in corporate espionage for b2b saas
— sophie (@netcapgirl)
5:39 PM • Mar 17, 2025
Trump fighting the urge to tweet about tariffs so the market can have one green day:
— TrendSpider (@TrendSpider)
1:00 AM • Mar 17, 2025
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