Wall St. vs Ivy

Penn leaders out after Wall St. donor, alumni pressure from comments, Fed starts to confront rates cut question, Cigna calls off merger with Humana, luxury goods sellers claim ‘worst market since 2008’, and Musk reactivates Alex Jones’ X account after 5-year ban…

☕️ Good Morning.

The Fast Five Penn leaders out after Wall St. donor, alumni pressure from genocide comments, Fed starts to confront rates cut question, Cigna calls off merger with Humana, luxury goods sellers claim ‘worst market since 2008’, and Musk reactivates Alex Jones’ X account after 5-year ban…

Here’s your 5-min briefing for Monday:

BEFORE THE OPEN

As of market close 12/8/2023. Bitcoin as of 12/10/2023.

MARKETS:

  • S&P 500 reaches a new yearly high, closing at 4,604.37.

  • Nasdaq rises, Dow gains, all major indices end the week with gains.

  • November's jobs report surprises with drop in unemployment rate to 3.7%.

  • The economy adds 199,000 jobs, exceeding estimates.

  • Data sparks debate on Fed policy, with expectations of rate cuts.

  • Monthly jobs report supports the idea of a "soft landing" for the economy.

  • University of Michigan survey shows lower inflation expectations and higher consumer sentiment.

  • Investors drive Boeing, FedEx, and Costco to new yearly highs.

EARNINGS

What we’re watching this week:

  • Monday: Oracle (ORCL)

  • Wednesday:

    • Adobe (ADBE) - expected: $4.14 per share (+15% YoY) on $5.0 billion revenue (+11.2% YoY)

  • Thursday: Lennar (LEN)

    • Costco Wholesale (COST) - expected: $3.41 per share (+11.1% YoY) on $57.7 billion revenue (+8.1% YoY)

  • Friday:

    • Darden Restaurants (DRI) - expected: $1.73 per share (+13.8% YoY) on $2.7 billion revenue (+8.0% YoY)

Full earnings calendar here

NEWS BRIEFING

The Ivy League, Wall Street donors and the furor over antisemitism on campus.

If it’s because of a US recession, that’s bad news all around. Fed’s dot plot likely to project fewer rate cuts than markets.

  • Zelensky will meet Biden at the White House amid a stepped-up push for Congress to approve more aid (more)

  • Harvard under heightened pressure after Penn leadership ousted (more)

  • This week's Fed meeting could slam brakes on year-end stock rally (more)

  • Inflation expectations plunge in closely watched survey (more)

  • China proposes trading cost cuts for mutual funds, to regulate commissions (more)

  • China’s livestream shopping is booming, fueling new tech such as avatars and AI (more)

  • Rakuten plans to launch proprietary AI model within next 2 months (more)

  • Cigna calls off merger with Humana (more)

  • Sotheby’s ditches IPO strategy after picking bankers (more)

  • Starbucks tells union it wants to resume contract talks in January (more)

  • Elon Musk reactivates Alex Jones’ X account after a five-year ban (more)

  • Embattled luxury goods sellers claim 'the worst market conditions since 2008' (more)

  • Gen Z redefining the luxury market—why TikTok and IRL experiences should be embraced by legacy brands (more)

  • Battery startup ONE demotes founder and CEO during cash crunch (more)

A SPECIAL MESSAGE FROM BEHIND THE MARKETS

“The buck stops here.”

Dear Fellow Investor,

China just deployed six warships near Israel.

China's presence could easily escalate this regional conflict into a direct confrontation with the US.

This would be a nightmare scenario for us.

We lost 18 straight simulated war games with China.

The good news is, the US military has a plan to upgrade our weapons to win wars in the 21st century.

And early investors could see 35,960% returns with the small defense contractor who won this groundbreaking contract to upgrade our weapons.

"The Buck Stops Here."

Dylan Jovine

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DEALFLOW

M & A | INVESTMENTS:

  • Macy’s receives $5.8 billion buyout offer (more)

  • TikTok to invest $1.5 billion in joint venture with Indonesia's GoTo (more)

  • Fenway moves forward in final talks to invest in PGA Tour’s Saudi deal (more)

  • Shari Redstone reportedly in talks to sell Paramount parent to Skydance (more)

  • Stone Point, General Atlantic propose to buy remaining stake in HireRight (more)

  • India's Max Healthcare to buy Sahara Hospital in $113M deal (more)

  • M&A chatter in the cun at Evercore’s Health-Care Confab (more)

  • TIS acquires Dynetek (more)

  • H.I.G.-backed Hibu acquires Software Division of Signpost (more)

  • Mountaingate-backed Ignite Visibility purchases IDS (more)

  • White Wolf-backed NSC Technologies purchases Shipyard Staffing (more)

  • Thoma Bravo-backed Nearmap buys Betterview (more)

  • Ontario Teachers’ Pension explores SeaCube stake sale (more)

  • CropX, a company specializing in digital agtech solutions, acquired Green Brain, a digital irrigation management solutions provider (more)

  • Invaio Sciences, a provider of a nature-positive solutions for farmers, acquired Peptyde Bio, a company that discovers, designs and characterizes novel peptides for use in agriculture (more)

  • Ecopol, a developer/producer of innovative biodegradable films and delivery systems, invested in JRF Technology, a developer of water-soluble polymer and edible film technology (more)

  • ProHance, a new-age workplace analytics and operations management platform company, received a majority investment from ChrysCapital (more)

  • Hayden AI Technologies, a startup that provides traffic violation enforcement services using image analysis technology, received an investment from ME Innovation Fund (more)

VC

  • New Ajax Health affiliate raises $90 million led by KKR, Hellman & Friedman (more)

  • Liquid AI, a developer of domain-specific, and general-purpose AI systems powered by Liquid foundation models, emerged from stealth mode with $37.6M in Seed funding (more)

  • Artisan AI, an AI startup that plans to build human-like digital workers, raised additional funding from a Sequoia scout, doubling the valuation from $15M to $30M (more)

  • Simply Homes, a provider of an automated Single Family Rental sourcing and underwriting platform, raised $22M in funding (more)

  • Opal Security, an identity security and access management company, raised $22M in Series B funding (more)

  • Yogi, a provider of a customer insights platform, raised $10M in Series A funding (more)

  • Qortex, an Intelligent Video Analytics company, raised $10M in funding (more)

  • OurSky, a developer platform for space data applications, raised $9.5M in Seed funding (more)

  • Shiseido Company, Limited, a global beauty company, launched Shiseido Long Term Investments for the Future (LIFT) Ventures (more)

  • Bureo, a B Corp focused on providing fishermen with an end-of-life solution for discarded fishing nets, closed its Series B funding (more)

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CRYPTO

  • Bitcoin’s 2023 rally frays during brief 7.5% drop toward $40,000 (more)

  • BTC, ETH, SOL, major altcoins begin Asia business day in deep red (more)

  • Google updates policy to allow ads for US crypto trusts (more)

  • FTX, Alameda move $23.59M in assets to Binance, Coinbase, OKX (more)

BULLISH BITES

🦄 Incoming class: Here are the newly minted fintech unicorns

⚾️ Home run: Ohtani breaks contract record with $700 million Dodgers deal.

📈 Hot tip: Early investors could see 35,960% returns with the small defense contractor who won this groundbreaking contract to upgrade our weapons. Here's the Ticker >>>

🏪 Middleman: How grocery stores are becoming data brokers.

✈️ Mad dash: Americans rush to Portugal ahead of changes to expat tax breaks

DAILY SHARES

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