Whiplash

Trump declares US-China trade war, shutdown likely to stretch into November, consumers haven't been this gloomy since the '90s, Salesforce forecasts revenue over $60 billion in 2030, and gold extends record run past $4,200...

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Market Briefing
October 16, 2025

 

Good morning.

The Fast Five → Trump declares US-China trade war, shutdown likely to stretch into November, consumers haven't been this gloomy since the '90s, Salesforce forecasts revenue over $60 billion in 2030, and gold extends record run past $4,200…

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Calendar: (*Shutdown may affect key data. All times ET) - Full Calendar

  • Today:
    Producer Price Index, 8:30A
    Retail Sales, 8:30A
    Unemployment Claims, 8:30A

  • Tomorrow:
    None watched

Your 5-minute briefing for Thursday, Oct 16:

BEFORE THE OPEN

As of market close 10/15/2025.

Pre-Market:

US Investor % Bullish Sentiment:
↑ 45.87% for Week of OCT 09 2025

Previous week: 42.92%

Market Wrap:

  • Futures edge higher: Dow +75 (0.2%), S&P +0.1%, Nasdaq +0.2%.

  • S&P +0.4%, Nasdaq +0.7% Wed; small caps hit new high.

  • Bank earnings strong; Salesforce, JB Hunt jump after hours.

  • Volatility rises (VIX 20.6) as US–China tensions escalate.

  • Trump eyes cooking-oil ban, tariffs, and price floors vs China.

  • Shutdown enters week 3; data blackout clouds outlook.

  • LPL warns of narrow rally — AI giants driving 60% of S&P gains.

EARNINGS

None watched today. Full calendar here »

Is Nvidia a Sinking Ship?

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Is this the beginning of the end of the AI bull run?

This 50-year Wall Street veteran weighs in on the threat of an AI bubble – and exactly what it means for your money in the days ahead.

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HEADLINES

Some lawmakers are even beginning to express worries that the Thanksgiving travel season could be at risk.

The dueling remarks underscored the whiplash investors have felt as tensions have flared.

  • Strong bank earnings push S&P 500 higher (more)

  • Bessent: US to finalize trade deal with South Korea in next 10 days (more)

  • Fed's Beige Book report finds a stalled job market (more)

  • Consumers haven't been this gloomy since the late '90s (more)

  • US banks tap Fed repo facility as overnight rates climb, signaling strain (more)

  • Gold extends record run past $4,200 on rate-cut hopes, safe-haven fervor (more)

  • Oil rises as Trump says India will stop buying Russian supply (more)

  • Banks and private credit clash after Dimon’s cockroach barb (more)

  • Bank of America, BNY sued over alleged financial ties to Jeffrey Epstein (more)

  • Tesla urges Delaware Supreme Court to restore Musk's $56B payday (more)

  • Salesforce forecasts revenue over $60 billion in 2030 (more)

  • TSMC Q3 profit expected to set record on AI spending boom (more)

  • BlackRock, Nvidia-backed group strikes $40 billion AI data center deal (more)

  • Ether dips below $4,000 as crypto selling pressure continues (more)

- We’re on a short break this week -
The sections: Dealflow, Crypto & Bullish will be back
on Monday, 10/20/25. Thank you for reading!

DAILY SHARES

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